Rate Environment
Mid-June 2026 showed modest improvement in long-term fixed-rate pricing as Treasuries drifted lower. Agency and life company execution remained strong for qualified stabilized assets.
Key Rate Ranges (Week of June 15, 2026)
- Agency Multifamily (Fannie/Freddie): 5.85%, 6.50% fixed (5-10 year)
- Life Company: 5.95%, 6.60% fixed (preferred for stabilized multifamily & industrial)
- CMBS Conduit: 6.25%, 7.00% fixed
- Bank/Portfolio (5-Year Fixed): 6.00%, 6.75%
- Bridge/Transitional: SOFR + 275-400 bps (~7.50%-8.85% all-in)
- Construction (Floating): SOFR + 250-375 bps
- SBA 504: Blended 6.00%, 6.75%
Market Outlook & Themes
- Fed & PCE: Benign inflation prints could push the 10-Year back toward 4.20% or lower, supporting CRE pricing into fall.
- Transaction Volume: Q1/Q2 2026 running meaningfully ahead of 2025, led by multifamily and industrial. Grocery-anchored retail seeing renewed lender interest.
- Lender Competition: Life companies and agency lenders ahead on targets, good window for qualified stabilized deals.
- Cap Rates vs Financing Costs: Negative leverage has narrowed but not closed. Buyers using more equity and conservative assumptions.
Action Items
- Get rate quotes on deals inside 90 days, modest Treasury rally creates a favorable window.
- Stress-test at 4.50% on the 10-Year (conservative underwriting).
- Engage early on 2026 maturities.
- Consider locking long-term fixed for 7-10 year holds rather than floating.
Related reading: For construction financing and ED1 context in the current rate environment, see our ED1 Affordable Construction Financing in Los Angeles page and Construction Loans guide.
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